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Huatai Securities: The countercyclical adjustment is stronger than expected, and the expansion of domestic demand may fall on the policy of boosting consumption. Huatai Securities believes that the macro-policy orientation conveyed by the Central Economic Work Conference is more positive, in fiscal policy (expanding deficit, increasing special national debt, expanding the use scope of special debt, etc.), monetary policy (moderately easing, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates), real estate and capital market (stabilizing the property market and stock market), and expanding domestic demand policy (implementing special actions to boost consumption) In terms of currency securities, Huatai Securities believes that there is still room for interest rate cuts. On the one hand, the current real interest rate level is still high in horizontal comparison; On the other hand, credit expansion, especially the balance sheet expansion of developers and local governments, is relatively weak, and the cost of capital has room for further decline. It is expected that the central bank will cut interest rates by 30-50 basis points next year, but the pace may be affected by external changes and exchange rates.According to sources, Trump will meet with the widow of former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe on Sunday.Medvedev: Trump is very talented, but ending the conflict between Russia and Ukraine in one day is a campaign slogan. According to the Tass news agency, on December 12, Medvedev, vice chairman of the Russian Security Council, said that US President-elect Trump's statement that he could end the conflict in Ukraine "within 24 hours" was his slogan to win the presidential election. Medvedev said, "Trump is a talented person. I think this is still the slogan of (Trump) to win the election. " (Reference message)

South Korean police said on the 13th that they were considering detaining and searching the correspondence records of President Yin Xiyue and the presidential residence. (Xinhua News Agency)Institution: It is expected that the PC market in China will resume growth in the second half of 2025. IDC, an international data company, issued a document saying that the overall PC market in China is expected to improve in 2025, and the shipment volume will drop slightly by 0.2% compared with that in 2024. Among them, the first half of 2025 will be affected by the early release of demand at the end of 2024, and the expected shipment volume is still negative, down 4.2% year-on-year; In the second half of 2025, it will improve as a whole, with a year-on-year growth rate of 3.0%.Reuters opinion polls show that 94% of economists said that the tariffs of US President-elect Trump will have a negative or some negative impact on the Japanese economy; 51 of 52 economists said that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates to at least 0.50% before the end of March; 58% of analysts said that the Bank of Japan will keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 0.25% in December, compared with 44% in November; The salary increase in Japan's labor negotiations in the next fiscal year is 4.7%, which is lower than the median forecast of 5.1% in this fiscal year.

The United States International Trade Commission made the final ruling on the third double-reverse sunset review of raw rubber magnetism, China Trade Relief Information Network, December 12, The United States International Trade Commission (ITC) voted to make the affirmative final ruling on the third anti-dumping sunset review of Raw Flexible Magnets imported from Chinese mainland and Taiwan Province, and the affirmative final ruling on the third countervailing sunset review of raw rubber magnets imported from Chinese mainland: it ruled that if the current anti-dumping and countervailing measures are abolished, the substantial damage caused by the import of the products involved may continue or recur in the reasonably foreseeable period. According to the final ruling, the current anti-dumping and countervailing measures in this case continue to be effective.Midea Group increased its capital to 7.66 billion yuan. According to Tianyancha App, Midea Group (000333) has undergone industrial and commercial changes, and its registered capital has increased from about 6.98 billion yuan to about 7.66 billion yuan. Midea Group Co., Ltd. was established in April 2000, and its legal representative is Fang Hongbo. Its business scope includes the production and operation of household appliances, motors and their parts, etc. Midea Holdings Limited, Hong Kong Securities Clearing Company Limited and China Securities Finance Co., Ltd. jointly hold shares.CCCC Real Estate: The loan of more than 15 billion yuan from the controlling shareholder will expire next year, and will be renewed for one year after negotiation. On December 12th, CCCC Real Estate (000736.SZ) announced that the principal balance of the loan of the company and its holding subsidiaries from the controlling shareholder CCCC Real Estate Group Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "real estate group") is 15.091 billion yuan, and the annual interest rate is 7%. The above loan will be in 2020. According to CCCC Real Estate, according to the actual operation of the company, after consultation with the real estate group, the company plans to extend the above-mentioned loan of 15.091 billion yuan for one year from the maturity date, with the annual interest rate not exceeding 7%.